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The performance measures of the risk models considered in this paper are
presented in 2 ways:
- Univariate: As an average performance over the 10 trivial portfolios
that are defined by the 10 risk factors k - as being the sole asset in the
portfolio.
- Multivariate: In conjunction with a candidate portfolio P
of 10 risk factors itemized in section
and having equal weights.
We shall hereafter use univariate and multivariate to describe
the context of the performance measures as defined above.
The entire analysis is done assuming zero mean price
change - but to account for any bias due to long term increases or decreases in
one or more of the time series - the performance information is symmetrized by
taking the mean performance over the 2 portfolio position vectors defined by:
- Long on the US dollar with equal investment in each risk factor.
- Short on the US dollar with equal investment in each risk factor.
The above symmetrization procedure applies equally to the
univariate as well as the multivariate presentations.