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Performance measures 1, 2 and 3 are digital measures sensitive to the concept of
exceedence as defined by the event set
(expression
) and are
entirely based on the cardinality of these or similar (
for measure 3) sets
as a function of confidence level c. As already remarked
(in the detailed specification) - these
measures are oblivious to the degree of exceedence - and hence lacking in this
respect. It is quite possible that two models may have the same number of
exceedences - even at the same points in time - but one model barely overshoots
the exceedence limit
whereas another goes well beyond. Clearly measures
1, 2 and 3 will be unable to discriminate between two such models.